60 score
AI Analysis
Third installment in a series modeling post-AGI economic growth, examining how reoptimizing production recipes for post-AGI factor prices (cheap labor, fast capital reproduction) would accelerate economic doubling beyond what fixed-recipe models suggest. Uses 2017 US input-output tables as baseline.
In Part 1, I found that a fully automated economy using today's production methods could double roughly every year. In Part 2, I modeled the transition from today's economy to that maximum-growth composition and found that energy production could double within about four years. Both parts held production methods fixed: each sector continues using exactly the recipes it uses today, with robots replacing human workers. That assumption is too conservative. Today's production recipes were chosen at
AI EconomicsTransformative AIAGI Implications