60 score
AI Analysis
Third installment in a series modeling post-AGI economic growth, examining how reoptimizing production recipes for post-AGI factor prices (cheap labor, fast capital reproduction) would accelerate economic doubling beyond what fixed-recipe models suggest. Uses 2017 US input-output tables as baseline.
In Part 1, I found that a fully automated economy using today's production methods could double roughly every year. In Part 2, I modeled the transition from today's economy to that maximum-growth composition and found that energy production could double within about four years. Both parts held production methods fixed: each sector continues using exactly the recipes it uses today, with robots replacing human workers. That assumption is too conservative. Today's production recipes were chosen at
AI EconomicsTransformative AIAGI Implications
Source details
In Part 1, I found that a fully automated economy using today's production methods could double roughly every year. In Part 2, I modeled the transition from today's economy to that maximum-growth composition and found that energy production could double within about four years. Both parts held production methods fixed: each sector continues using exactly the recipes it uses today, with robots replacing human workers. That assumption is too conservative. Today's production recipes were chosen at
AI EconomicsTransformative AIAGI Implications